Palmyra holds a dual significance to Syrians as being home to some of the worldâs most celebrated ruins and one of the Assad regimeâs most feared detention and torture facilities. Both, as it happens, will gain new prominence in the days ahead, as ISIS has just swept through the desert tableland, sacking its second city in the course of a week in which a few hundreds of its militants stormed Ramadi, the provincial capital of al-Anbar, largely uncontested by skedaddling Iraqi Security Forces. That sacking put ISIS in firm control of strategic foothold some 70 miles west of Baghdad, and well within striking distance of the Iraqi capital, where suicide and car bombings have spiked recently.
Similarly, the taking of Palmyra puts ISIS on a theoretically straight trajectory for mounting an incursion into Homsâonce the cradle of Syriaâs revolution and now mostly retaken by the Assad regimeâand then possibly onto Damascus, where the terror organization had briefly conquered the Yarmouk Palestinian refugee camp last month. The loss of Palmyra is a clear threat to Syriaâs cultural patrimony, consisting as it does of the standing remnants of 2,000 year-old temples and tombs, because of ISISâs designation of âidolatrousâ pre-Islamic art and architectureâor anything too big for ISIS to hawk on the black marketâas worthy only of powdering.
âThe fighting is putting at risk one of the most significant sites in the Middle East,â Irina Bokova, the director-general of UNESCO, said in a statement, while Syriaâs chief of antiquities, Mamoun Abdulkarim, told AFP that many statues and artifacts in Palmyraâs museum been relocated already but that immovable monuments were now helpless.
The same can practically be said for the evaporated Syrian army. So desperate were Assadâs troops that they resorted to freeing Palmyraâs prisoners to get them to fortify the city in a last-ditch and pathetically unsuccessful attempt to hang on, one local resident told The Daily Beast.
According to Khaled Omran, a member of the Palmyraâs anti-Assad Coordinating Committee, the regime tried to reinforce its collapsing front lines Wednesday with detainees from the notorious Tadmour Prison. Most, however, ran away from the ISIS onslaught rather than stay and fight for their jailers. âI saw about 10 busloads of prisoners being driven to the front,â Omran said Wednesday evening via Skype. âMaybe 1,000 men.â They added to the regimeâs âthousandsâ of soldiers and forcibly conscripted tribal militias who were used, in Omranâs words, as âcannon fodder.â
Assadâs military were stationed throughout the city and its outlying districts, which are home to several security installations, including an important airbase that Iranâs Revolutionary Guards Corps has used in the past to deliver resupplies to its overstretched and attrited ally, and the Syrian air force has used to wage sorties on mostly civilian and non-ISIS targets in the war-torn country. However, the use of prisoners to defend against ISIS stands as an interesting contrast to how the terror army did the jailbreaking in Ramadi earlier in the week in order to swell their own ranks.
âFour days ago, ISIS started their preparations to stormâ Palmyra, Omran explained. âRegime forces called in reinforcements, mainly to the military security branch and the citadel, but relied heavily on their air force. The number of ISIS fighters was quite smallâthey were in the hundreds. They werenât very heavily equipped, save for antiaircraft guns mounted on trucks in six positions around the city.â These rudimentary air defenses were enough to deter to the fighter planes and attack helicopters. âI didnât see them down any jets, but the guns were enough to deter most of the aerial assaults.â
Video footage uploaded by activists does show what appear to be some aerial bombing.
The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, an opposition-linked monitor, claimed that the regime withdrew or evacuated its forces on Wednesday, though Omran insisted that many of these also deserted because of fear of inevitable ISIS atrocities, such as beheadings, photographs of which were circulated on social media as the militants invaded in a now characteristic form of psychological warfare. âRegime troops were fleeing left and right,â he said. âMost of the senior Alawite officers in the army fled earlier and left their menâSunnisâto their own devices.â Assadâs forces also evidently pulled away from the phosphate mines abutting the main M3 highway system, theoretically giving ISIS a straight shot to Homs and Damascus.
If Omranâs account is true, it would signal a uncanny replay of another ignominious regime defeat in August 2014, at Tabqa Airbase in the eastern province of Raqqa, when ISIS seized the installation and captured or executed hundreds of Syrian soldiers, some of whose heads were cut off and stuck on pikes. A video later posted online by Assad loyalists accused the regime of treason after Syrian generals reassured their rank-and-file that helicopters were en route to deliver 50 tons of ammunition and resupplies when in fact those aircraft turned up only to spirit away the generals, leaving the rank-and-file to perish. The video also accused Syrian Information Minister Omran al-Zoubi of covering up this betrayal of Syrian soldiers and led many pro-Assad activists to begin to seriously question the competence and willingness of the dictator to combat terrorism.
Mohammed Ghanem, the director of government relations at the Washington D.C.-based Syrian American Council, said he could not understand how an imminent ISIS advance wasnât stopped by either regime or coalition aircraft. âWe are mystified as to how ISIS columns with hundreds of fighters were able to traverse the Syrian desert and reach Palmyra without suffering a single air raid,â he told The Daily Beast. âThe areas between ISIS-controlled cities and Palmyra are sparsely populated, and any significant military convoy should have been extremely easy to spot. Yet neither Assad nor the coalition conducted raids against ISIS.â
For now, Palmyra remains âcalm,â but the mood is undeniable anxious. The departing army destroyed the electrical transformers, Omran said, bathing the ancient city in darkness. Batteries are being used to power computers, but Internet access is spotty. Another source of concern is regime propaganda after the withdrawal: State television has made false claims that Damascus evacuated all of Palmyraâs civilians before its men withdrew. âWeâre worried that this was to lay the groundwork for an imminent bombing raid that will make no distinction between Daesh and us,â Omran said, using the derogatory Arabic word for ISIS.
Word on the street is that ISIS has already begun its barbarous counterintelligence work, claiming to have compiled a list of regime agents and sympathizersâa number that, in its view, includes opposition activists opposed to both Assad and ISIS. âThe search is on for them,â Omran said.
How were the cityâs some 50,000 residents coping, less than 24 hours into ISIS rule? âThereâs almost no movement inside the city itself,â he said. âISIS didnât introduce a curfew yet, but thereâs no one on the street, so youâd think there was one.â
And the mood? âSome people have resigned to their fate,â Omran said. âMost of the key services have been shut down. The bakery has run out of flour. The regime shut the lights. People are fearful. Theyâre not sure what tomorrow holds.â