The worldâs top alien hunter is about to embark on his most ambitiousâand potentially history-makingâmission yet. Harvard physicist Avi Loeb is organizing a $1.5-million expedition to Papua New Guinea to search for fragments of a very strange meteorite that impacted just off the coast of the Pacific nation in 2014.
Thereâs compelling evidence that the half-meter-wide meteorite, called CNEOS1 2014-01-08, traveled from outside our solar system. And that itâs made of extremely hard rock or metalâa material thatâs hard and tough enough to prove the meteorite isnât a meteorite at all. Maybe itâs an alien probe.
Itâs a long-shot effort. After years of work, Loeb and his team have, with a big assist from the U.S. military, narrowed down CNEOS1 2014-01-08âs likely impact zone to a square kilometer of the ocean floor, nearly two kilometers underwater. But the fragments themselves are probably just a few millimeters in size. Itâs worse than looking for a needle in a haystack. Loeb is basically preparing to look for big sand in a square-kilometer patch of small sand.
Itâs worth the risk, Loeb told The Daily Beast. Any fragments the team recovers could turn out to be âtechnologicalââthat is, clearly manufactured and thus strong evidence of the existence of aliens. Or maybe theyâre not artificial, but are made of some super-strong material that weâve never observed until now. A rare metal forged in the hearts of neutron stars, for example.
In any event, âwe will learn something new,â Loeb said.
The expedition is almost ready to depart for Papua New Guinea. âWe have a boat,â Loeb wrote in on a post on Medium on Jan. 27. âWe have a dream team, including some of the most experienced and qualified professionals in ocean expeditions. We have complete design and manufacturing plans for the required sled, magnets, collection nets and mass spectrometer.
âAnd most importantly,â he wrote, âtoday we received the green light to go ahead,â referring to the approval of Papua New Guineaâs for the mission.
The plan, Loeb said, is to deploy a variety of custom sand-siftersâsome with magnets, others like huge sievesâand methodically search the seafloor for two weeks. The main reason itâs taken eight years to organize the mission is that, first, Loeb and his team had to figure out where the meteoriteâs fragments came down to Earth.

Avi Loeb of Harvard University speaks during the SALT conference in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., September 14, 2022.
David âDeeâ Delgado/ReutersIt was easier said than done, since no single instrument precisely captured CNEOS1 2014-01-08âs journey to the seafloor. But if anyone was motivated to try, it was Loeb. While these days more and more scientists are coming around to the idea that weâre probably not alone in the universe, Loeb was banging that drum even when it was unpopular.
When a very odd, shiny, football-field-size object streaked across then out of the solar system in 2017, Loeb was among the first scientists to say out loud what others may only have been thinking: This object, which scientists later named âOumuamua ( Hawaiian for âscoutâ), might be an alien probe.
And Loeb isnât afraid to put his moneyâwell, his donorsâ moneyâwhere his mouth is. In addition to studying strange interstellar objects such as âOumuamua, Loeb through his Galileo Project is painstakingly building humanityâs first global network of small telescopes whose main purpose is to scan the sky for alien craft, or at least the remains of alien craft.
To narrow down CNEOS1 2014-01-08âs impact zone, Loeb needed data from two sets of instruments. The first set was from U.S. military missile-warning satellites that, thanks to their sensitive infrared sensors, tend to also detect meteorites while scanning for missile-launches.
These satellites can not only provide at least a vague indication of where a meteorite is heading, they also capture images of the fireball that results from a meteoriteâs fast, hot trip through Earthâs atmosphere. The timing and intensity of a fireball can tell us a lot about a meteoriteâs composition. Basically, the longer it takes for the atmosphere to ignite a meteor, the tougher the meteor is.
After much wheedling, Loeb convinced the Pentagon to release the full fireball data for CNEOS1 2014-01-08. They indicated the 2014 meteorite might be the hardest meteorite on record.
The second set of data Loeb needed was much more precise telemetry for the meteoriteâs path than the military could provide. So he checked on nearby earthquake sensors. âWe found that the blast wave from the meteor explosion generated a high-quality signal in a seismometer located at Manus Island,â which is part of Papua New Guinea, Loeb wrote at Medium.
Armed with the two data sets, Loeb and his team were able to narrow the likely impact zone from 100 square kilometers to just one square kilometer. âThis reduction in the geographic uncertainty of the⌠fireball improves the search efficiency in the forthcoming ocean expedition to recover its fragments,â Loeb and company wrote in a study, not yet peer-reviewed, that appeared online on March 13.
After having arranged funding and manpower, narrowing the search zone, and getting the Papua New Guinean governmentâs approval, Loeb and his team are now putting the finishing touches on their special sand-sifting equipment for recovering magnetic meteoritic debris from the seafloor.
One of the most important pieces of gear is a wide metal sled with rows of magnets. Itâs based on a device called the Cosmic Muck Rack that University of Washington, Seattle astronomer Don Brownlee designed in 2009. A boat tows the sled across the seafloor. The magnets attract metallic fragments.
Once itâs all ready, hopefully this summer, Loeb and his team will set sail.
Expectations are running high. But Loeb said heâs bracing for disappointment. âThere is a chance it will fail,â he said of his expedition. Even success could be something of a letdown, if the team recovers fragments, but those fragments turn out to be natural in origin rather than artificial.
Itâs important to frame even that secondary discovery as a major advancement, Ravi Kopparapu, an astronomer at NASAâs Goddard Space Flight Center in Maryland, told The Daily Beast. âThis could give us more confidence on the nature of the interstellar meteor, and could point to whether this meteor is unique or a new class of meteorites.â
Maybe Loeb and his team go to all that trouble to find the remains of CNEOS1 2014-01-08, only to confirm it isnât an alien probe. But donât expect a setback like that to cause Loeb to give up his search for evidence of extraterrestrials. He said he understands how convincing the proof needs to be, and how hard it might be to find it. âExtraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence,â he said.