As the leader of the U.S. Senate, Chuck Schumer quite literally has 99 problems. But the New York Democrat has managed to completely eliminate one: a primary challenge in his home state this year.
Even before he took the reins as Senate majority leader last January, Schumer was stalked by chatter that a prominent progressive New Yorker might run against him in 2022. And Democratsâ disappointment with Schumerâs Senate has only grown as the partyâs agenda on everything from climate change to voting rights dies a slow and painful death in the chamber.
Furious Democrats, especially in progressive hubs like New York, havenât been in the mood to let their leaders off the hook. But when it comes to Schumer, a funny thing happened: There may not be a worse time to be him in Washingtonâor a better time to be him in New York.
With the primary six months away, Schumer is cruising to a fifth term without so much as a symbolic challenge. Itâs not an accident.
Even while heâs been consumed with the Democratic agenda in Washington, Schumer has been almost impossible to escape in New York. He has crashed Brooklyn stoop parties on his bike, ridden along with striking taxi cab drivers, rallied for bike delivery workers, and Merengueâd with the cityâs Puerto Rican political elite in San Juan. During the pandemic, he has constantly popped up, New Yorkers say, on the most obscure of Zoom meetings.
Itâs all vintage Schumer, whose appetite and aptitude for flooding the zone in New York borders on the legendary and, sometimes, the absurd. Many longtime observers believe heâs somehow found a new gear back home.
âChuck defies the laws of political gravity,â said Rep. Ritchie Torres (D-N.Y.). âEven as heâs risen to Majority Leader, heâs become more visible locally than ever before.â
A distant incumbent is a common ingredient for a successful primary. That was never going to be Schumer. But in parsing the senatorâs frenetic schedule, a newer trend is clear: A heightened strategic outreach to the left-wing constituencies that would be most inclined to support a primary challenge.
Schumerâs charm offensiveâwhich has entailed not just personal engagement with lefty organizers but also intentional high-profile work on key progressive issuesâhas not only foreclosed the threat of a primary challenge but brought the rumor mill screeching to a halt.
Itâs gotten to the point where there is a running joke now in left-wing political circles in New York: For members of the Democratic Socialists of America, Schumer is easier to get a hold of than Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
Ocasio-Cortez is a card-carrying DSA member and, coincidentally, the most high-profile New Yorker mentioned as a possible Schumer challenger. Schumer, meanwhile, is still thought of in those corners as a classic Wall Street Democrat.
But now, heâs one that lefties can live with. Asked about the joke, Jeremy Cohan, the co-chair of DSAâs chapter in New York City, acknowledged it and laughed.
âHeâs really good at retail politics,â Cohan said of Schumer. âHe has reached out and supported NYC-DSA legislators, and their causes, in a way that someone like Gov. [Andrew] Cuomo just couldnât imagine doing.â
In New York politics, it was never really accepted that Schumer was at risk of losingâor even having to run a real primary campaign. No credible candidate ever seriously tested the waters for a campaign, several sources said, though some certainly thought about it.
In an interview with CNN published Wednesday, Schumer said that âwhen it comes to reelection, I work really hard for New York and it always works out fine⌠I always am looking forward, not over my shoulder.â
Asked to comment on Schumerâs approach to the primary threat, and his outreach to the left, campaign spokesman Angelo Roefaro claimed that the senatorâs activities would be no different were he not up for reelection.
What defines Schumer is that âhe finds a way to be everywhere, particularly when it counts, and especially in crisis,â said Roefaro. âChuck is ready, energized and excited to work every day for this great state and nation.â
But to many, itâs indisputable that Schumerâwho has won every race he has ever run in, dating to 1974âoperated as if he was in danger, and adjusted accordingly. Few believe heâd be locking arms with left-wing upstarts like the Sunrise Movement and courting DSA members otherwise.
âHe is really, like, astoundingly present,â said Sean McElwee, the founder of Data For Progress, the polling and strategy shop founded in New York. âHe shows up in random places, does tons of Zooms for local community groups, he really talks a lot to progressive organizations.â
And a Democratic operative who knows Schumer said âhe has been more deliberate, more available, and more willing to give up the hours in his day to progressives.â
Itâs not just that Schumer has ceded virtually no room to his left, however. Even as the Senate has become a graveyard of liberal priorities, he has continued to sharpen his appeal to a broader electorate, making a primary challenge even more unappealing.
The trillion-dollar Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, brokered by a bipartisan group in the Senate, represents a rare investment in New Yorkâs crumbling roads and transit systems. Schumer has relentlessly sold its impacts in the Empire State, along with the $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan relief bill that passed last year.
âNo one is going to agree with everything he doesâthat's just politics today,â said Meredith Kelly, a Democratic strategist who got her start working for Schumer in New York. But she argued that when most New York voters hear from Schumer, itâs about tangible things that positively impact their lives.
âHis formula works,â Kelly said. âGetting shit done for people.â
Everyone in New York, seemingly, has their Schumer story. Torres, a freshman congressman from The Bronx, told The Daily Beast that he recently called a member of a community council in his district to find a time to brief them on local impacts of the just-passed infrastructure bill. No need, the person told him. Schumer already had.
âI was floored,â Torres said. âI think Chuckâs heightened visibility is meant to send a message that he has never forgotten where he comes from.â
Some Democrats reject the notionâlargely advanced by Republicans seeking to needle the Majority Leaderâthat Schumer has steered the Senate agenda to the left explicitly to protect himself from a primary. That snark hit its peak after Schumer held a doomed vote last month on changing Senate rules to pass voting rights legislation, which attracted criticism from some Democrats for exposing vulnerable senators to a tough vote.
Matt House, Schumerâs former communications director, said his old bossâ high-stakes strategy to pressure Sens. Joe Manchin (D-WV) and Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ) to embrace filibuster changes was not dictated by the demands of reelection, but by a number of factors. âHeâd end up in the same place strategically every time,â House said.
The progressive New Yorkers who spent the last year loudly and visibly protesting Schumer to take those very steps have a hard time seeing it that way, however. Liat Olenick, a Brooklyn activist and elementary school teacher, said their impact on Schumerâs decisions in the Senate was obvious. âThatâs how primaries work,â she said.
Progressives see plenty of other evidence in Schumerâs policy record and political strategy that he was taking a primary threat very seriously.
Schumer has, for instance, been perhaps the most powerful elected Democrat pushing Biden to cancel student loan debt. In the process, heâs partnered with up-and-coming New York progressives, like Reps. Torres, Mondaire Jones, and Jamaal Bowmanâwho himself had just ousted a longtime incumbent in a primary. At a December 2020 press conference on the issue, Schumer beamed Bowman to the podium via his iPad.
In New York, Schumer has been a high-profile advocate for the most of-the-moment causes of the left. He was crucial in brokering a deal to provide relief to indebted cabbies, and then dramatically elevated the struggle of bicycle delivery workers, riding on his bike alongside organizers in October as he vowed to help secure them resources. When Schumer rallied with Ocasio-Cortez in Times Square in January on behalf of the delivery workers, it was not the first time the two appeared jointly back home in the last year.
In October, Schumer endorsed India Walton, a Democratic Socialist, as mayor of Buffaloâbreaking with the chair of the New York Democratic Party, who declined to endorse, comparing Walton to former KKK leader David Duke.
Some of Schumerâs most vocal critics are the same people he has been most conspicuous about cultivating. In 2019, the climate advocacy group Sunrise Movement staged a protest outside his office, demanding he do more to address the climate crisis. The next year, he became the lead sponsor of the so-called THRIVE Agenda, a Green New Deal-style climate and jobs program. Quoted in his press release was the leader of the Sunrise Movement, Varshini Prakash.
But Schumer would be far from the only high-profile Democratic politician to have tacked left in recent yearsâthe party as a whole has moved that way, bringing along everyone from backbench lawmakers to Biden himself.
Itâs often noted, too, that Schumer started further left than figures like Biden. âThe reason Chuck Schumer is acting liberal now,â said Data For Progressâ McElwee, âis that Chuck Schumer is a fairly liberal person, which is why he decided to do politics in the first place.â
But perhaps more than anything else, Schumer is well-attuned to his caucusâ center of political gravity. As The Washington Post reported in 2018, he likes to ask potential hires on Capitol Hill how they would rate the politics of senators, from most conservative (zero) to most liberal (100). The right answer for Schumer is always the same: 75, the exact median of the Democratic caucus.
Many progressives welcome Schumerâs progressive shifts, even if they canât take credit for all of it. To them, it means that establishment Democrats understand how credible a threat the left poses.
âIf you were going to run against him, what would you have run on?â asked Max Berger, a strategist who worked for Justice Democrats, the group that launched Ocasio-Cortez. âForestalling a primary was existential to him. Honestly, I think thatâs a testament to his political intelligence.â
All of this does not mean that Schumer is sailing toward another six years in power with his lefty constituents happily on board. Several stressed that Democratsâ failure to pass legislation close to, or on par with, the trillion-dollar Build Back Better economic and climate package could tarnish whatever goodwill Schumer has built up with the left.
Some on the left worry that what they might ultimately get out of Schumerâs charm offensive is nice talk and the right commitments, but not the results they care about most.
âFor a lot of the groups who would mount a challenge, Schumer did everything right to appease them,â said one progressive operative. âOne can argue he was unable to deliver on what he said, but in the primary time frame, he neutralized a challenge.â
Certainly, key progressive figures feel it is hardly too late to continue pressuring the senator, even if Schumerâs own electoral considerations are merely background noise.
On Wednesday, Ocasio-Cortez took the step of challenging Schumer directlyâat least on Twitter.
Responding to a report that Sinema confronted Schumer over the slow pace of Senate votes, Ocasio-Cortez said that, âactually he should continue to make their lives as difficult as possible and treat them the way they treat, say, public housing residents.â
Not mentioning Schumer by name, The Bronx congresswoman followed with some ideas: âCancel vacation. Vote on weekends. Vote for hours. Vote last minute. Call votes when Senators are courting billionaires at fundraisers.â
A spokesperson for Ocasio-Cortez did not respond to questions about the congresswomanâs views on Schumerâs leadership or if he should run in the primary unopposed.
Olenick, the Brooklyn activist, said that some progressives were too quick to let Schumer off the hook. âIâd say itâs not too late for a primary challenge,â she said.
Some on the left, though, see it differently. Berger is not under any illusions about Schumer, arguing that the longtime lawmaker simply cares about remaining in power.
âIf he needs to kiss the ring on the left to stay in power, heâll do it,â Berger said. âIf we got to choose, heâs not who weâd have. But it could be a lot worse.â