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Prediction
How One Polymarket Gambler’s Big Bet on Trump Paid Off
RICHIE RICHThe trader correctly predicted a Trump victory in the electoral college and the popular vote, and that the GOP candidate would sweep the “blue wall” swing states.
Presidential Election Nostradamus Reveals 2024 Prediction
TRUE OR FALSE?Allan Lichtman has accurately predicted almost every presidential race since 1984—and he says there will be a clear winner in November.
Nate Silver to 538 Critics: ‘F*ck You, We Did a Good Job’
‘THE PITCHFORKS ARE COMING’The FiveThirtyEight founder pushed back hard on anyone who is criticizing his closely watched model after the presidential race was much tighter than expected.
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Kristol Finally Gets Something Right
IT’S A MIRACLE!The “wrongest man in politics” finally gets something correct: Rand Paul’s poor primary performance.
What Will the World Be Like in 25 Years?
In the Year 2040They’ve been wildly wrong before, but experts looking at our future are surprisingly optimistic.
Banks Want Robots to Do Their Hiring
StatbustersCan software perform better than humans on matters of hiring and retaining employees?
This World Cup Needs A Psychic Octopus
Never ForgetSure, Germany is back in the World Cup final. But it’ll have to beat Argentina without Paul, the cephalopod that correctly predicted the results of all eight (!) German matches last go-around.
When It's Time to Stop Talking About Politics
Doom and Gloom
Why I Started FiveThirtyEight
United States of Arithmetic<p>The <a href="/content/newsweek/2012/11/09/nate-silver-how-a-nerd-changed-political-reporting-forever.html">statistician and author</a> of the new book <i><a target="_blank" href="http://www.amazon.com/Signal-Noise-Many-Predictions-Fail-but/dp/159420411X/">The Signal and the Noise</a>,</i> who has now predicted two presidential elections with astounding accuracy, on the principles he abides by on his blog.<br> <br> </p>
Predict the Winner and You Can Guest Blog for FrumBeast, Ctd.
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