Ready to invoke what former New Hampshire Secretary of State Bill Gardner once dubbed âthe nuclear optionââmoving the primary to before ChristmasâGranite State Democrats are pulling out all the stops to maintain their coveted status as the first-in-the-nation primary state.
âPeople here are really, really angry,â a New Hampshire presidential campaign veteran told The Daily Beast after the Democratic National Committee, backed by President Joe Biden, decided to award the first primary slot to South Carolina, adding that itâs âentirely possible the [New Hampshire] primary will be held in 2023.â
âOh yeah, weâre gonna have it first,â said Neil Levesque, executive director of the New Hampshire Institute of Politics at Saint Anselm College. âWe could have it before Christmas. The bigger story here is a candidate running for president is changing the calendar to align with his best interests.â
Even if the economic benefits of hosting the first primary are questionable, or that its importance only emerged after the chaos of the 1968 Democratic National Convention and then with the lore surrounding former President Jimmy Carterâs 1976 campaign, Granite Staters are ready to fight to keep it.
If that entails a battle with the White House, then so be it.
Levesque, an otherwise well-mannered figure in the primary and the host of the influential âPolitics & Eggsâ event frequented by candidates, went as far as accusing Biden of trying to ârigâ the calendar in his favor.
âThis is a move designed to rig the election, and Iâm using a word that the previous administration used, but itâs a very similar type of action where you have someone in power who says weâre gonna have these things to our advantage to try and keep power,â Levesque said. âWe saw Biden here. He didnât come in second, he didnât come in third, he didnât come in fourth. He came in fifth.â
The congressional delegation and party brass have not shied away from petty retaliations, either.
Sens. Jeanne Shaheen and Maggie Hassan skipped the White Houseâs Congressional Ball on Monday night in protest of the Democratic National Committeeâs decision, while New Hampshire Democratic Party Chairman Ray Buckley drew a line in the sand by calling first-in-the-nation status ânot theirs to take away.â
The state of just over 1 million also has one card no other competitor can match: a law enshrining its presidential primary pole position in the state constitution.
âNew Hampshire has a law that requires we hold our Presidential Primary at least seven days before any similar nominating event,â New Hampshire Secretary of State David Scanlon told The Daily Beast in a statement. âOur first-in-the-nation primary is part of our culture and has been in place for over 100 years. We will continue to follow the law and honor our tradition.â
For now, that means holding the primary in January 2024 before South Carolina is set to vote on February 2.
The sentiment from New Hampshire Democrats is teeing up an unusual and potentially litigious showdown between the state party and its senior, the Democratic National Committee, as Democrats prepare to embrace their new nominating order in 2024.
In earnest, New Hampshire was the first primary in the nation based on a technicality; Iowa went before New Hampshire, but Iowa had caucuses. That kept the sanctity of New Hampshireâs treasured law intact. But when Democrats sought to shake up their nominating order in order to diversify the voters who were leading Democratsâ contests, New Hampshire came under threat. They fought back early.
Jockeying with states like Nevada and Michigan to retain the first-in-the-nation status, New Hampshire pleaded its case for months to the DNC's Rules and Bylaws Committee. It touted its long history of presidential politicking, its conveniently small size, how Democratsâ investment in the state during presidential cycles buoyed Democratic candidates in the swing state.
But come time to vote, the DNC didnât oblige. On the recommendation of President Biden, they opted for South Carolina to go first on Feb. 6, Nevada and New Hampshire to share Feb. 13, followed by Georgia on Feb. 20 and Michigan on Feb. 27.
Iowa, for the most part, went graciously. It was a long time coming for the Hawkeye State, which lacked the racial or geographic diversity national Democrats were looking for.
But New Hampshire is choosing guerrilla warfare.
âNo president has ever done anything this brazen,â the Granite State presidential campaign journeyman said, specifically referring to alterations in the nominating process.
âYou have a group of party bosses who have been told by the candidateâa candidate who is going to try and run in that electionâwhere the election can take place and when it can take place. Thatâs rigging,â Levesque said, again adding that he does not use the term lightly.
The DNC will issue a final vote on the calendar in Philadelphia in February, 2023.
After decades of tensions with other states eyeing the first spot, the Granite Staters at the heart of the first-in-the-nation primary are now fully embracing a game of chicken with South Carolina and the DNCâand, by extension, the White House.
âThe reality is, theyâre never gonna be first,â the presidential campaign veteran said of South Carolina, requesting anonymity to discuss sensitive internal conversations. âThe South Carolina Republicans control the state, and theyâve already agreed to the GOP calendar.â
The presidential campaign veteran compared the DNCâs decision to that of the Supreme Court in Bush v. Gore.
âWhen I saw that sentence in the presidentâs letter to the DNCâand interestingly, the calendar itself was not in the letterâthe only other place Iâve ever seen saying this is not a precedent and only applies to this case and time was in the Bush v. Gore decision.â
âIt appears to be a calendar written by somebody who has never run a presidential campaign,â they added, noting that the shared night with Nevada has been a particular sticking point among Granite State Democratic operatives.
âI donât know what their thinking was,â JoAnn Fenton, a longtime activist, former New Hampshire delegate and highly influential donor bundler, told The Daily Beast. âI just think itâs short-sighted on their part.â
âWeâre well informed voters,â she added. âWeâre not as diverse as other states, but weâre diverse in a lot of other ways.â
To be sure, New Hampshire canât just go willy-nilly as they please. The DNC can penalize states that go out of order by cutting their delegate totals in half and preventing candidates who campaign in the state from receiving the stateâs delegates altogetherâeffectively making any trouble-making states untouchable.
The New Hampshire Democratic Party did not respond to a request for comment on their plan for if the DNC penalizes their delegate totals or other.
In South Carolina, meanwhile, Democrats are rejoicing at the recognition from party leaders. As a state that produced Democratic âkingmakerâ Rep. James Clyburn and secured Bidenâs victory in the 2020 Democratic nominating cycle, itâs a recognition of the role theyâve playedâincluding with Black voters in particular.
Clyburn wrote in a statement that Bidenâs recommendation was âresponsive to the Democratsâ most loyal constituents, and that builds on his record of that last two years.â Clyburn also noted what many South Carolina Democrats have touted: South Carolina has urban and rural areas, varying industries, and relatively inexpensive media markets, boosting its accessibility for less cash-advanced candidates.
Still, South Carolina Democrats hear the criticismâthey just think itâs bull.
âItâs disrespectful to the leader of the Free World and to the leader of our party, because this recommendation came from the president. Also, I think it's a slap in the face to African-American voters, who have genuinely been the political booster cable that has kept this party charged up,â said Antjuan Seawright, a South Carolina Democratic strategist and Clyburn advisor.
âIt's not like their primary got moved to June. It's just a week later. What's wrong with having African Americans at the top?,â Seawright added.
Now that Biden and the DNC canât unshake the beehive, theyâre in for a protracted fight, the Granite State presidential campaign veteran said, âbecause itâs so unprecedented and so out of left field.â
âThis is gonna fester for a year, at least,â the campaign veteran said.