Politics

Stats Guru Nate Silver Reveals Which Candidate Has Momentum in Final Push

LAST CALL

The elections data analyst nevertheless said he doesn‘t think Vice President Kamala Harris has better than a “50/50 shot.”

Nate Silver appears on Crooked Media's What a Day podcast.
Crooked Media

Nate Silver said the campaign is closing with the winds at the sails of Vice President Kamala Harris. Last month, the statistician and blogger wrote a New York Times op-ed saying the race was essentially a toss-up, but his “gut” feeling was that former president Donald Trump will win the election. In an appearance on Crooked Media’s What a Day podcast, he stood by his assessment that Harris has a “50/50 shot.” “But we’re going into the last week where if any candidate has the momentum it’s Harris and not Trump,” he added. “In the New York Times polls, people who have decided in the past week, they go for eight points by Harris.” Silver noted last minute voters breaking for Harris could be thanks to Trump’s toxic Madison Square Garden rally, where a racist comedian insulted Puerto Rico, Hulk Hogan spit at the mention of Harris’ name, a sanitation worker called her the “Antichrist,” and Tucker Carlson mocked her race—something so crazy, even by Trump standards, not even the Oracle of Des Moines Ann Selzer could have predicted it.

Read it at Crooked Media

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