Laugh off the investigation. Ignore it. Or shake your ass with Jimmy Fallon. Three governors who have been seriously floated as possible contenders for the Republican presidential nomination in 2016 are under investigation in their home states. How they are coping varies dramatically. Texas Governor Rick Perry seems to have benefited from his troubles; New Jersey Governor Chris Christie was declared dead and is now bobbing back into the running; and Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker has mostly stayed quiet, perhaps thinking that ignoring the scandal will make it go away.
It is important, former Louisiana Governor Edwin Edwards told me, that the candidates âdonât dodge or evade.â Instead, he advised them to, âstep up to the plate. Tell it like it isâespecially if itâs going to come out later from somebody else. Itâs important that you admit it, and if youâve done something wrong, to ask for understanding and forgiveness. If you havenât done anything wrong, you need to explain your position.â
And Edwards would know.
Edwards (who was governor for a total of sixteen, staggered years from 1972 to 1996) was long-dogged by charges of corruption. He was also known for his candor in addressing them. Asked about receiving illegal campaign contributions, he once said: âIt was illegal for them to give, but not for me to receive.â In 1991, having lost his bid for reelection, Edwards declared his candidacy against David Duke, who was revealed to be a neo-Nazi. Bumper stickers supporting Edwards read, âVOTE FOR THE CROOK. ITâS IMPORTANT.â Edwards won. In 2001, Edwards was found guilty on charges of racketeering and sentenced to ten years in Federal prison. Ahead of entering the Big House in Fort Worth, Texas, he told the press: âI will be a model prisoner as I was a model citizen.â Edwards is now running for Congress in Louisianaâs 6th district.
âI just made fun of people who wanted to say things about me or investigate me, because I knew I was not going to get in any kind of trouble,â Edwards told me of his surviving-scandal-playbook.
And so we have Perry.
When a Democratic District Attorney, Rosemary Lehmberg, refused to resign following her arrest for a DUI and belligerent behavior toward her arresting officers (all of which was caught on tape) Perry publicly threatened to veto funding for a powerful investigations unit that she controlled. It was the threat, not the veto itself, that prosecutors believe violated the law. In mid-August, after a year-long investigation, Perry was indicted on charges of abuse of power and coercion of a public official, first and third degree felonies, respectively.
Perry has not exactly been apologetic.
The governorâs strategy to save face has been to demonize Lehmberg, and to laugh the whole thing off. Perry released an ad featuring the deeply embarrassing footage of Lehmbergâs arrest, wherein she is placed in a restraining chair and made to wear a mask. When he turned himself in, he wore a smirk in his mug shot, and then he went out for ice cream with reporters in tow. And not long after his mug shot went viral, Perryâs political action committee, RickPAC, began selling t-shirts that featured it on the front, with the caption âWANTED,â and Lehmbergâs decidedly less attractive mug shot on the back, with the caption, âGUILTY.â Perry posted a link to purchase the t-shirts on Twitter.
Edwards approved of Perryâs strategy. âI think thatâs a good way to do it. He feels like heâs been politicized in the legal system, and I think thatâs the way to treat it.â
âThe Perry indictments have worked in his favor,â David Gergen, a veteran of the Nixon, Ford, Reagan and Clinton administrations, and professor of public service at the Harvard Kennedy School, told me. âThe Texas indictments have energized the campaign and given him a story to tell. He was looking for a pony to ride in this race, and he may have found one for the next lap or two.â Perry has also benefited from the fact that the national mediaâthe right-wing and the left-wingâseem to be in his corner.
Christieâs method for coping with scandal has been more complicated.
In January, the seemingly-local issue of lane closings on the George Washington Bridge, which created a massive traffic jam in the Hudson River town of Fort Lee, became one of national interest when it was revealed that one of Christieâs closest staffers had ordered themâfor what looked like political retribution against a Democratic mayor. The scandal was quickly dubbed âBridgegate,â and unfortunately for Christie, it played into his reputation as a bully.
Christieâs response was to act unlike himself: humble.
Though he consistently denied his own involvement or knowledge of the event, he apologized. He held a never-ending press conference, wherein he answered every questionâafter that, he was able to answer questions about the scandal by saying he had already answered all of them. Christie has since largely ignored the several investigations (including one by the U.S. Attorney in New Jersey and one by the U.S. Attorney in New York) into his and his administrationâs behavior, traveling to states like Illinois and Iowa and not even facing a single question about Bridgegate. Christie even made his way back onto late night television, where he had, pre-scandal, been a constant presence, to dance with Jimmy Fallonâcomically walking off stage when Fallon began to perform a dance titled âThis Bridge Is Closed.â
âI think if you get combative and overly objecting, people are going to begin to get suspicious,â Edwards told me. âWhile itâs not a essential, I think having a sense of humor and a sense of self deprecation is good in politics.â
One Republican consultant wondered how long Bridgegate will linger. He explained, âAll great scandals have to involve money or sex. Christieâs dealt with traffic,â but Christieâs opponents will benefit from the âclassic question: does [the scandal] play into a known stereotype?â
Comparatively, Walkerâs scandal has not made many headlines. Prosecutors in the Badger State allege that he was part of a âcriminal schemeâ to coordinate conservative groups that spent money to help him defeat the effort to recall him as governor. Walker, who is running for reelection, has not been charged, and has called the allegations âcategorically false.â He seems to have largely stayed out of the national media spotlightâthough he made an appearance on Twitter, wearing fingerless leather gloves and eating an ice cream cone.
âWalkerâs troubles havenât registered on the national landscape much,â Gergen noted. But as one Republican consultant put it, âThere is a drip drip.â A feeling that âthis isnât the first time Walkerâs had a problemâthatâs problematic.â
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When a candidates flaws are seen as an endearing part of who they are, scandal can make them more attractive, Gergen argued. âAmericans have broken both ways on rogues. They donât like some roguesâŚBut if somebody comes along whoâs likably rogue? People just think âoh, itâs just him. Donât worry about it.â It can actually play in their favor.â
Gergen used Bill Clinton, his former boss, as an example. âRepublicans overplayed their hand,â and in cases like that, people are more likely to âgive them a break and see them as a victim more than a culprit.â
Certainly in Perryâs case, he seems to have tapped into the populist view that the system is broken and rigged against people. âWeâre living in an age where the populism, the frustration with the system is very high and those who can claim to be victimized by the system, they can get a lot of help by fighting back. But there have been other times in our history where anybody who had a brush with the law was going to have a lot of trouble. After watergate, you would not want to run in the position any of these three guys is in right now.â
But that may not be an effective long-term strategy.
âEverything is good until itâs not good. That works until youâre convicted. Once youâre convicted, itâs a problem,â said the Republican strategist. As noted above, Christie remains under investigation by various entities in various states. Due to the secretive nature of U.S. Attorney investigations, no one knows for sure what areas of Christieâs record are being prodded. And if any of the investigations were to result in an indictment it remains unclear whether or not Christie would be able to make it work for him like Perry has. And to fight off that indictment, Perry has hired a team of political consultants and criminal lawyers. âThe one thing people underestimate is the degree to which this stuff consumes you,â the Republican strategist explained. Surviving scandal requires a lot of time, money, and energyâthatâs on top of running a campaign.
And as 2016 inches closer, attacks will get more pointedâand will likely attempt to relate the scandals to broader patterns of behavior in the governors.
But it may be nothing a good bumper sticker canât fix. Asked what his would say if he were in the place of Perry, Christie, or Walker, Edwards took a few seconds to think. âVOTE FOR RICK. ITâS A TRICK,â âVOTE FOR CHRISTIE. HEâS THE HEAVYWEIGHT.â And as for Walker, âI could probably think of one,â but nothing came to mind.